Polymarket Trader

0x3beEd9F022951bc57855A80BA497E70C1868501c-1739195816626

0x3beed9f022951bc57855a80ba497e70c1868501c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.64K
Realized PnL: $1.23K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $936.64
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $64.29

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $630
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $870
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$360

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $634.55
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $660.45
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$180.45

No position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $629.87
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $569.88
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $85.99

No position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $331.55
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $688.6
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$198.45

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $288.63
Potential payout: $946.32
Potential profit: $657.69
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$295.39

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $414.91
Potential payout: $790.31
Potential profit: $375.4
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$56.17

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $486
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $114
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $258

No position

Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $92.37
Potential payout: $156.56
Potential profit: $64.19
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $1.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $506.85

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.48

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $220.2

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.93

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.6

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $20

JD Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.4

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$24.21

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$32.28

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 87% 1,699.99 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 90% 16,655.42 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 78% 243.47 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 88% 2,099.51 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 24% 107 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 24% 3,000 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 24% 250 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 46% 5 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 47% 285.66 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 53% 620 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 50% 987 shares
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 64% 15 shares