Polymarket Trader

CDReves

0x3bf2b9b5801d3171314aa9a3d685de9fff4370a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.32K
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $943.49
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $98.56

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $273.59
Potential payout: $897.03
Potential profit: $623.44
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$179.19

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $578.44
Potential payout: $856.95
Potential profit: $278.51
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $333.35

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $500.52
Potential payout: $782.06
Potential profit: $281.54
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $347.9

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735
Potential profit: $735
User PnL: -$18.79

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $15.19
Potential payout: $675.12
Potential profit: $659.93
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $252.3
Potential payout: $593.65
Potential profit: $341.35
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$120.45

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $566.25
Potential profit: $560.87
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$107.83

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $492.74
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.39
Potential profit: $461.39
User PnL: -$121.4

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $433.12
Potential profit: $432.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.56

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $341.88
Potential payout: $343.77
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: $210.49

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $300.33
Potential profit: $288.02
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$20.87

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $39.63
Potential payout: $300.22
Potential profit: $260.59
Multiplier: 7.58x
User PnL: $23.58

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $246
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$155.3

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $72
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $228
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $121.47
Potential payout: $299.92
Potential profit: $178.45
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $99.95

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $30.73
Potential payout: $268.4
Potential profit: $237.67
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: -$34.98

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.09
Potential profit: $254.09
User PnL: -$38.58

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.6
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$121.1

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.6
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$11.6

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $28.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $171.9
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $156.98
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.85

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.91

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.06

No position

Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.03

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.94

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.14

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $63.49

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $56.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $51

No position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.84

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.21

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.72

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

No position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 10% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 5% 146.93 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 200 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 69.3% 26.55 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 77.3% 136.78 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 78.8% 99.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 100 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 32.4% 50 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 57% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98% 80 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 32% 14.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 79% 100 shares