Polymarket Trader

lunarrr

0x3bfdb6c446bfa8a45f193ab210c4ddb49f448952

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.93
Realized PnL: $6.8K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $38.93
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.52

Yes position

Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-09-19?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Buccaneers

Ends Oct 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.04

Yes position

Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Rangers

Ends Mar 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will Trudeau resign by Friday?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Steelers position

Giants vs. Steelers

Ends Oct 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Broncos position

Browns vs. Broncos

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Commanders position

Titans vs. Commanders

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Royals position

Mets vs. Royals

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Bills position

49ers vs. Bills

Ends Dec 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Mariners position

Rangers vs. Mariners

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Jaguars position

Titans vs. Jaguars

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Chiefs position

Raiders vs. Chiefs

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?

No 99.8% 76.15 shares
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-09-19?

Yes 34% 5 shares
Rangers vs. Mariners

Mariners 58% 6 shares
Mets vs. Royals

Royals 45% 9 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?

No 99.9% 5 shares
Raptors vs. Nets

Nets 55% 200 shares
Oilers vs. Rangers

Oilers 59% 100 shares
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?

Yes 51% 87 shares
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Yes 98.6% 62 shares
Eagles vs. Ravens

Ravens 60% 11 shares
Browns vs. Broncos

Broncos 69% 13 shares
49ers vs. Bills

Bills 74% 10 shares