Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.78
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Polymarket Trader
GambleGng
0x3c0affbc0a9ad309a1e3273f994d6404c6f0e3ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.23
- Realized PnL
- $2.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?Up 82% 2.44 shares
- Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20% 5 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?Up 82% 3 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 76% 1.32 shares