Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $3.29K
- Potential payout
- $11.97K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$250.34
Polymarket Trader
0x3C1253E36380805781A71649D138F0ee9D4C7514-1774614679997
0x3c1253e36380805781a71649d138f0ee9d4c7514
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.17K
- Realized PnL
- $264
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $321.85
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $21.85
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $253.68
- Potential payout
- $441.18
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$46.32
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $302.02
- Potential payout
- $366.09
- Potential profit
- $64.07
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.66
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.11
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.63
No position
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$89.79
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$152.63
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$191.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 29% 4,010.21 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 24% 4,166.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 1.5% 597.2 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 9% 526.31 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.9% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.9% 1,433.99 shares
- Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 99.9% 105.51 shares
- Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 94.8% 105.51 shares
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes 29.9% 3,047.35 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?No 79.6% 125.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 34% 588.24 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 33.5% 597.21 shares