No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $574.6
- Potential payout
- $676
- Potential profit
- $101.4
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $71.84
Polymarket Trader
0x3c251940f335a4baD10D9a05a4fe9476d1ecaD11-1768166256927
0x3c251940f335a4bad10d9a05a4fe9476d1ecad11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $73.94
- Win rate
- 87%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $251.58
- Potential profit
- $251.2
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.11
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $121.55
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $8.45
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.62
No position
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.76
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.99
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 76% 376 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No 91% 50 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No 77% 50 shares
- US strike on Mexico by January 31?No 96.8% 20.66 shares
- US strike on Mexico by January 31?No 96.7% 103.41 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?No 83% 22.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 5.7% 101.58 shares
- Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?Yes 4.8% 62.66 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 82% 48.78 shares
- Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes 15% 340 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No 97.1% 100 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No 71% 50 shares