Roboocop

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $4.24K
User PnL: -$3.55K

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $308.87
Potential payout: $336.09
Potential profit: $27.22
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Malta win on 2026-06-01?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $131
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $58.15
Potential profit: $56.32
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.26

Abedallah Shelbayh position

Mallorca Championships: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Grigor Dimitrov

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $25.26
Potential profit: $20.37
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.59
Potential profit: $20.59
User PnL: -$14

Daniil Medvedev position

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.76
Potential profit: $12.76
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $4.36
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.27
Potential profit: $9.27
User PnL: -$4.45

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $6.56
User PnL: -$4

Elena Rybakina position

Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8
Potential profit: $4.8
User PnL: -$3.89

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$3

Anastasia Potapova position

Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$2

Ashlyn Krueger position

Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Ashlyn Krueger

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44
Potential profit: $3.44
User PnL: -$2.17

Corentin Moutet position

Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$1.31

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9
Potential profit: $1.9
User PnL: -$1.5

Lorenzo Sonego position

Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Jakub Mensik position

HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.21

Grigor Dimitrov position

BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrov

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $762.82

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.5

No position

Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.97

No position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.61

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.19

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.51

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $197.6

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.06

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.64

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.26

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.22

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.75

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.58

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.18

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.74

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.73

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.6

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.47

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.73

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?