Polymarket Trader

hdw123

0x3c4a6ff33917a66bfe1c80b97264dca93fe76f8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $621.93
Realized PnL: $115.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $717.41
Potential profit: $713.82
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $645.35
Potential profit: $645.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$77.45

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $623.01
Potential profit: $620.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$210.29

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $345.75
Potential payout: $622.97
Potential profit: $277.22
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $167.75

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $270.09
Potential payout: $620.9
Potential profit: $350.81
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $175.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Down 49% 8 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 25.7% 23.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Up 47% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Down 36% 2.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Up 98% 5.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Up 88% 5.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Up 7% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Down 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 47% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 30% 3.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Up 40% 2.5 shares