Polymarket Trader

kndrtkv

0x3c4ba0e46219b74850d636eca776f68697422746

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $424.2
Realized PnL: $1.68K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $424.2
Potential payout: $24.24K
Potential profit: $23.82K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$46.71

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.58
Potential profit: $757.58
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.51
Potential profit: $588.51
User PnL: -$253.06

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $350.88
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.86
Potential profit: $204.86
User PnL: -$100.38

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.22
Potential profit: $149.22
User PnL: -$26.86

Over position

Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.05
Potential profit: $88.05
User PnL: -$34.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.47

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.7

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.39

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.08

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

No position

Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?

Ends Feb 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-02?

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

No position

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Hyperliquid exploit before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Crimean bridge hit before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Manchester City vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Yes 1.9% 24,239.73 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5

Over 38.9% 88.05 shares
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

No 43% 588.51 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?

No 71% 253.06 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 56.3% 1,777.47 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Yes 39% 1,025.64 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 2,611.22 shares
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?

No 66% 757.58 shares
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Yes 49% 212.76 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?

No 57% 350.88 shares
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?

Yes 53% 188.68 shares
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

No 48.9% 1,043.7 shares