No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.79K
- Potential profit
- $10.79K
- User PnL
- -$5.79K
Polymarket Trader
ev1710
0x3c4f0a0dec4b0c76a7e90e2458b8216a773f831e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.04K
- Realized PnL
- $22.6K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $7.21K
- Potential payout
- $7.55K
- Potential profit
- $339.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $6.49K
- Potential payout
- $7.34K
- Potential profit
- $843.53
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- User PnL
- -$6K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $461.96
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$27.17
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$203.75
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $46.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $50.36
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $116.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $326.22
Team Falcons position
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.28
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.22
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
No position
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 5,434.78 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 88.8% 7,335.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 6,896.55 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59.6% 7,546.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 29% 6,896.55 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 3,096.81 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 70.8% 3,811.07 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 77.2% 1,942.79 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 25,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 25,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.3% 13,896.58 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 34.6% 8,670.52 shares