Polymarket Trader

DarnassusSquare

0x3c512b6676a18810366498165538913ef0e4af7e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $197.88
Realized PnL: $27.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$340

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.24
Potential profit: $500.24
User PnL: -$316.06

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.33
Potential profit: $450.33
User PnL: -$228.03

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $31.49
Potential payout: $370.45
Potential profit: $338.97
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$31.99

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$114

No position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $166.39
Potential payout: $259.98
Potential profit: $93.59
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$5.7

Kyle Daukaus position

UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Arizona State position

Arizona State vs. Baylor

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Mississippi State position

Mississippi State vs. Arkansas

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Duke position

Duke vs. Clemson

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Illinois position

USC vs. Illinois

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Jacksonville State position

Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Temple position

UTSA Roadrunners vs. Temple

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Cincinnati position

Spread: Cincinnati (-3.5)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Mississippi State position

Spread: Texas (-7.5)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Jacksonville State position

Jacksonville State vs. UTEP

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.11

Houston position

Spread: Arizona State (-7.5)

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960

Vanderbilt position

Missouri vs. Vanderbilt

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900.85

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850.5

Hawaii position

Hawaii vs. Air Force

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $834.89

Akron position

Central Michigan vs. Akron

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.65

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $727.97

Indiana position

Indiana vs. Oregon

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.31

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.99

BYU position

BYU vs. Colorado

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.99

South Florida position

South Florida vs. North Texas

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.39

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.58

Vanderbilt position

LSU vs. Vanderbilt

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.38

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 500 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Diego Lopes 58% 345 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Yes 5% 399.99 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Yes 6% 149.99 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

No 70% 10 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 10.4% 7.19 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 86.1% 357.86 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

No 70% 519.77 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 41% 300 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Yes 13.8% 100 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Yes 13.7% 30 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Yes 13.6% 29.44 shares