0x3C57B55F62F7ed3a790E40D227A7f56293a8278E-1774440146185

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.37
Potential profit: $53.37
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.7
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.33
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.71
Potential profit: $15.71
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $13.34
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.22
Potential profit: $12.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.87
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.8

Yes position

Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?