Polymarket Trader

Natureselector

0x3c631bb8d828b827ae88e36dcd93fc88f5ae22b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.6
Realized PnL: -$0.77
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $244.81
Potential profit: $242.24
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$5.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 1, 2026?

No 3% 237.06 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 5.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Down 98% 1.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Down 72% 1.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 91% 1.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 61% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 4% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 11% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Up 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 54% 3.03 shares