luoislele

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $50.49
Potential payout: $372.63
Potential profit: $322.14
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $0.49

Under position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$50

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $141.61
Potential payout: $158.23
Potential profit: $16.61
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $16.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $6.31
Potential payout: $152.15
Potential profit: $145.83
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$3.69

Under position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $136.99
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $133
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $125.8
Potential payout: $127.39
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $25.8

Yes position

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $127.11
Potential profit: $121.14
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$40

Bilibili Gaming Junior position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $29.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $61.36
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.32
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $67.35
Potential profit: $63.61
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$6.26

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $30.69
Potential payout: $38.85
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.64
Potential profit: $24.64
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $20.21
Potential payout: $21.44
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $12.05
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$6.89

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $7.95
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$2.8

Xinxin Yao position

ITF Wuning: Maria Golovina vs Xinxin Yao

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$10

Kansas City Royals position

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.52

Kansas City Royals position

Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.62

Under position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.84

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.61

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Under position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Under position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Aurora Young Blood position

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

GLYPH position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Under position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Virtus.pro position

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Under position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

ex-MANA eSports position

Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group D

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Fennel position

Valorant: Fennel vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage