Polymarket Trader

Pengub

0x3c69336f4e2021dec67d06d90e7ac38337404622

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $105.41
Realized PnL: $2.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $688.98
Potential profit: $688.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.68

No position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $15.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $284.55
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $41.77
Potential payout: $281.3
Potential profit: $239.52
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $37.55

Yes position

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.2
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $135.7
Potential profit: $134.54
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$13.08

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$3.58

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $17.14
Potential payout: $107.11
Potential profit: $89.97
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.3
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.15
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$12.52

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $14.63
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $50.38
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $9.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$34.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.97
Potential profit: $63.97
User PnL: -$34.54

Yes position

Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $54.58
Potential profit: $54.31
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.47

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$25.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.83
Potential profit: $47.83
User PnL: -$26.79

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 49 °F or below on December 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 48°F or below on December 7?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.59

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.94

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.02

Yes position

Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.18

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 63-64°F on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 59-60°F on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.29

Yes position

Will Estonia win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 35°F or below on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.7

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 3?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.6

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 21% 100.04 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 7% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?

No 50% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?

No 54% 18.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 26?

No 62% 24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?

No 58% 52.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?

No 59.5% 32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 24?

No 64.4% 25.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 24?

No 72.6% 32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 24?

No 68.4% 64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 23?

No 82% 30 shares