Polymarket Trader

xiaoxinya

0x3c80622bdcc67d0673b3c61b281829a6ac4a743d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.39
Realized PnL: $32.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.06
Potential profit: $17.06
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $15.71
Potential profit: $14.6
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $11.82
Potential profit: $10.55
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.48
Potential profit: $5.48
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

No 7.7% 15.71 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 11% 11.82 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 9% 138.9 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 17% 5.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Down 56% 3.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Down 26% 3.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 58% 1.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 58% 1.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Up 44% 2.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Down 45% 2.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 50% 2 shares