No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $77.46
- Potential payout
- $91.13
- Potential profit
- $13.67
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $70.17
Polymarket Trader
0x3c96...a6ef
0x3c960d428b8c0f50deffafedc3d9f2762ba3a6ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $100.93
- Realized PnL
- $186.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $47.18
- Potential profit
- $47.07
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.75
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $14.94
- Potential profit
- $14.43
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $12.32
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $7.16
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $7.53
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $3.88
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Norrie position
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbert
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.31
Kraken position
Kraken vs. Flames
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.23
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. 76ers
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Eala position
ASB Classic: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Jets
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.29
Loyola Marymount Lions position
San Francisco Dons vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC position
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Over position
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Pacers position
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Over position
Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Nebraska Cornhuskers position
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Lakers position
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Under position
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Klein position
Australian Open Men's: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Lukas Klein
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Giron position
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Laslo Djere vs Marcos Giron
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Muchova position
Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovic
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Etcheverry position
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Valentin Royer
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Houston Cougars position
Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Hurricanes position
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 9% 9.94 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 31.9% 8.12 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes 79% 2.27 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 31.9% 4.2 shares
- GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026?No 94% 1.83 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 7.69 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 7.7 shares
- Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31Yes 32% 8.92 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 19% 7.58 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes 15% 7.06 shares
- Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31Yes 25.4% 8.92 shares
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 6.4% 32.36 shares