Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $210.68
- Potential payout
- $458
- Potential profit
- $247.32
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $96.18
Polymarket Trader
ShawnReeves1286
0x3ca32afb4bd1f831799edfeae02642189f849546
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $735.1
- Realized PnL
- $3.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.4%
- Current value
- $250.54
- Potential payout
- $372
- Potential profit
- $121.46
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $176.14
No position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $169.92
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $45.81
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $95.94
- Potential payout
- $156
- Potential profit
- $60.06
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$16.38
Yes position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $7.07
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $93.93
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.76
Yes position
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.03
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.78
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $237.78
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.16
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.36
Yes position
Will "California" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.8
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 17?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.94
Yes position
Will "Jake Paul" or "Logan Paul" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.82
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.45
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.05
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.93
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.78
Yes position
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.85
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.32
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $58.25
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.84
Over position
Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.12
No position
Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $42.24
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.22
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 10% 14 shares
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 20.6% 1,280 shares
- US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5Under 76.6% 932 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 69% 87 shares
- Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 86% 437 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No 82% 39 shares
- Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 87% 437 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No 76% 260 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No 82.9% 377 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 29% 437 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No 74% 40 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No 74% 403 shares