No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $892.48
- Potential payout
- $936
- Potential profit
- $43.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Polymarket Trader
thewio
0x3ca61f665fc7e7c46cedb4349ea9eb90c0963afd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $892.48
- Realized PnL
- $168.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.56
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Will XRP reach $1.90 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 96.2% 936 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.6% 1,046 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 764.89 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.5% 110 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 439 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.5% 723 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 439 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.6% 444.24 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98.5% 170 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 172.68 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 91.4% 444.24 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 97.9% 723 shares