Yes position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.75K
- Potential profit
- $12.75K
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
Polymarket Trader
SM4RTAsS
0x3ca6ade637353054d0e3f3cc4d0d72d26837a262
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $278.64
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $6.29K
- User PnL
- -$628.72
No position
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- User PnL
- -$174.26
Yes position
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $278.64
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$209.48
No position
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$389
Yes position
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833
- Potential profit
- $833
- User PnL
- -$91.63
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $508
- Potential profit
- $508
- User PnL
- -$174.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.54
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes 21% 200 shares
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes 20% 369.44 shares
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes 19% 187.78 shares
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes 18% 519.81 shares
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes 17% 200 shares
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes 17% 278.58 shares
- Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 1.6% 4,562.49 shares
- Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 3.7% 343.98 shares
- Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 2.8% 626.33 shares
- Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 3.4% 214.26 shares
- Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 7.2% 461.63 shares
- Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 7.2% 374.14 shares