Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $331.03
- Potential payout
- $7.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.03K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$748.94
Polymarket Trader
parfenenokbb
0x3cad72347b28882e3b7b559046f10f694062425a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $511.1
- Realized PnL
- $1.5K
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $180.07
- Potential payout
- $5.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$369.92
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.5
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.12
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
$PEPE position
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Scroll airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Swell airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Puffer airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.9% 561.8 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 1,030.93 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 1,030.93 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 1,030.93 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 1,030.93 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 515.46 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 515.46 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 15.9% 314.51 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 714.29 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 714.29 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Yes 5% 1,000 shares