Polymarket Trader

0x3CB6E186f0322443839ce5a688285032F3961B68-1770979870522

0x3cb6e186f0322443839ce5a688285032f3961b68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.93
Realized PnL: $285.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.49
Potential profit: $90.49
User PnL: -$15.02

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.76
Potential profit: $83.76
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.61
Potential profit: $82.61
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.08
Potential profit: $81.08
User PnL: -$3

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $33.27
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$4.81

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $28.85
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $19.44
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.95
Potential profit: $17.95
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.36
Potential profit: $16.36
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $13.31
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$7.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.62
Potential profit: $11.62
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.28
Potential profit: $9.28
User PnL: -$4.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $6.13
User PnL: -$1.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3
Potential profit: $5.3
User PnL: -$1.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9
Potential profit: $4.9
User PnL: -$1.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.86
Potential profit: $3.86
User PnL: -$1.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.46
Potential profit: $3.46
User PnL: -$1.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4
Potential profit: $3.4
User PnL: -$1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $3.04
User PnL: -$1.24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.35

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.61

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.66

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 36% 19.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 16% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Down 45% 4.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Up 83% 4.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Up 47% 4.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 78% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Down 73% 6.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 37% 5.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 35% 5.71 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 34% 2.94 shares