No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $11.66K
- Potential payout
- $13.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$88.91
Polymarket Trader
Abc0901
0x3cbd20ca01aa67b6bbadde7545621376da499742
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.39K
- Realized PnL
- $423.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$23.63
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $568.88
- Potential payout
- $601.99
- Potential profit
- $33.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.02
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $48.1
- Potential payout
- $369.98
- Potential profit
- $321.89
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$55.9
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $113.83
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $1.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.73
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.76
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $74.54
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $13.44
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Will the US strike ≥5 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will the US strike ≥7 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 591 shares
- Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No 99.8% 250.56 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No 95% 19.55 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 95.9% 425.27 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No 92% 27 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No 92% 40 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 99% 54.94 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 93.9% 55.53 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1,681.32 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 93% 1,609 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 143.35 shares
- Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No 90% 74.5 shares