Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$91
Polymarket Trader
birth
0x3cc767251b8896f5036eb2d8ca7f11655d7d8f4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.55
- Realized PnL
- -$23.62
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $99.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.65
No position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.47
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.31
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.59
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.5% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 86.5% 5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 76% 5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No 83% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 99.2% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp 99% 10.1 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 4,812 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 4,812 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 4,817 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 4,817 shares