jonito

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.21
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$5.79

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $234.71
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $770.49
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: -$15.28

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $130.14
Potential payout: $810.81
Potential profit: $680.68
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$19.86

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $17.67
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $649
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $7.67

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.31
Potential profit: $568.31
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$200

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $125.51
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $78.57
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $25.51

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $24.37
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $154.2
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$5.62

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $34.65
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $140.79
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $27.78
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $130.95
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$72.22

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $150.07
Potential payout: $151.97
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $37.61

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.03
Potential profit: $129.03
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.83
Potential profit: $124.83
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $11.11
Potential payout: $88.5
Potential profit: $77.39
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.24
Potential profit: $59.24
User PnL: -$42.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $36.57
Potential profit: $26.15
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$9.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$9.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.51

Yes position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.27

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $153.8

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.81

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.27

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.78

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.2%
Multiplier: 13.99x
User PnL: -$2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET