Polymarket Trader

0x707438D5C98Cd81c7CEff1c1998a1f02C26917ae-1776939282405

0x3cefddf5d4db00df9b56500242ebd0c34e46e408

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.53
Realized PnL: $10.94
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $942.84
Potential profit: $942.84
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.88
Potential profit: $32.88
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $32.58
Potential profit: $32.37
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $15.11
Potential payout: $16.79
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $16.12
Potential profit: $14.73
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $15.09
Potential profit: $10.49
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $14.82
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $14.79
Potential profit: $13.39
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Yes 45% 14.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?

Yes 32% 15.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?

Yes 7.3% 9.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Yes 48% 16.79 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 29?

Yes 3.1% 32.58 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

Yes 25% 16.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

Yes 22% 16.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Yes 45.5% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Yes 48% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

Yes 25% 16.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?

Yes 99.1% 16.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

Yes 0.3% 17.07 shares