No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $7.63K
- Potential payout
- $7.79K
- Potential profit
- $159.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $132.48
Polymarket Trader
SendLin
0x3cf87457302dd86d7ad32475dbe701c80225843a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.97K
- Realized PnL
- $8.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $5.1K
- Potential payout
- $6.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $95.94
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $56.82
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$43.18
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- User PnL
- -$758
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.97
- Potential profit
- $705.97
- User PnL
- -$579
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $202.78
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $352.78
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$197.22
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $498.12
- Potential payout
- $536.48
- Potential profit
- $38.36
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $372.92
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$56.25
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $209.22
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $161.15
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $9.22
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $209.6
- Potential payout
- $214.2
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.59
Tatsuro Taira position
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.76
- Potential profit
- $154.76
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.21
- Potential profit
- $89.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499
No position
Will Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.69
No position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.54
Caio Borralho position
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.51
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.33
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.32
No position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.32
Cody Garbrandt position
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.5
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.85
Josh Hokit position
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.66
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.02
No position
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.71
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $69.45
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.4
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.19
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.29
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.2
Raul Rosas Jr. position
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.92
Walker position
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Ends Aug 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.35
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.1% 6,571.16 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 95% 842.11 shares
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 4,545.45 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 75.7% 158.8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 90% 930.23 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 54% 370.37 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 63% 158.8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 930.23 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 89.7% 15,370.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 5.6% 89.21 shares