Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $941.6
- Potential profit
- $941.13
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Polymarket Trader
0x3d03...9d52
0x3d03c46d2e4594ea6fa03f7b571342d8ee249d52
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $887.16
- Realized PnL
- $1.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $121.69
- Potential payout
- $578.11
- Potential profit
- $456.42
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $71.4
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $371.22
- Potential profit
- $369.17
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$26.46
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $284.42
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $219.88
- Potential profit
- $219.22
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $211
- Potential profit
- $209.73
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $189.56
- Potential profit
- $182.26
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $94.28
- Potential payout
- $161.16
- Potential profit
- $66.88
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $10.65
- Potential payout
- $142.05
- Potential profit
- $131.4
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.65
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $94.78
- Potential payout
- $114.88
- Potential profit
- $20.1
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $111.19
- Potential payout
- $111.86
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $97.47
- Potential profit
- $97.42
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.02
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $88.54
- Potential payout
- $94.69
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $93.18
- Potential profit
- $92.48
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $92.04
- Potential payout
- $92.18
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $21.87
- Potential payout
- $89.28
- Potential profit
- $67.41
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $56.57
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $25.43
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $11.57
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $78.85
- Potential profit
- $76.84
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $73.92
- Potential profit
- $58.77
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $70.44
- Potential payout
- $71.12
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $62.92
- Potential payout
- $65.44
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $60.39
- Potential profit
- $60.36
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.32
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $52.35
- Potential profit
- $52.01
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $30.89
- Potential payout
- $50.22
- Potential profit
- $19.33
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$5.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.08
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.63
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.62
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.09
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $73.03
Under position
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.81
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.95
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.9
Under position
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.67
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.19
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.59
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.83
Over position
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.78
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.25
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.25
Under position
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.89
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.21
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.55
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $25.02
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.89
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $24.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.01 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 51.5% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 0.06 shares