Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.94
- Potential profit
- $12.94
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Polymarket Trader
0x3D1b085b9566bCdB70f5acED40a278768Cac5b55-1776237600704
0x3d1b085b9566bcdb70f5aced40a278768cac5b55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $27.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.47
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.41
- Potential profit
- $11.41
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.91
- Potential profit
- $10.91
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.91
- Potential profit
- $10.91
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.03
- Potential profit
- $10.03
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.64
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.36
- Potential profit
- $8.36
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.27
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.26
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will PAOK win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Young Boys win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will M. Tel-Aviv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will L. Red Imps win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Sigma Olomouc win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will S. Bratislava win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 3.6% 1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 4.3% 1 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?Yes 2% 1 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?Yes 31% 1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 1 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 7% 1 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 32.6% 1 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 1.1% 1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 2.2% 1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 1 shares
- Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 10% 1 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 2% 1 shares