No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $85.46
- Potential payout
- $85.46
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.34
Polymarket Trader
4tf34qfd
0x3d23c12e1b2b6e581d582712dd90ef7d23252d17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.6
- Realized PnL
- $19.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.57
- Potential payout
- $8.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $8.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $3.82
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $1.74
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $1.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Megaquake in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Giza Pyramid underground structures confirmed generators?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Apple dip to $200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No 99.9% 8.57 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 98.7% 1.57 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No 99.4% 2.01 shares
- Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?No 99.5% 1.01 shares
- Will BNB dip to $300 in May?No 99.8% 8.02 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 85.46 shares
- Will Apple dip to $200 in April?No 99.6% 5.03 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 98.7% 2.03 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No 99.9% 1.2 shares
- Will Google dip to $195 in April?No 99.7% 1 shares
- Will Google dip to $195 in April?No 99.7% 2.01 shares