Polymarket Trader

G4m

0x3d38372449b17d8a09c9c0752289933265ddb49c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: $3.44K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.72K
Potential profit: $7.72K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$100

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$550

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $310.38
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $241.54

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$350

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$500

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$200

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.77
Potential profit: $407.77
User PnL: -$108.54

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $243.9
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $831.01

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.35

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.19

No position

Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.43

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $112K July 14–20?

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.01

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

NAVI Junior position

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 64.9% 770.19 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 64% 781.73 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 14.5% 688.56 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 0.1% 1,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 38% 657.89 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Spirit 21% 119.05 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Spirit 48.2% 96.23 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Spirit 48.9% 133.48 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Spirit 31% 161.29 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Team Falcons 62% 161.29 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Team Falcons 31% 161.29 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Spirit 28% 357.14 shares