Polymarket Trader

IntoDarkness779

0x3d3c9c99430a6f94e187b0ef54c17123dca5630b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.01
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $17.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $168.22
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $129.03
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $115.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.86
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $92.09
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.08
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $73.91
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.2
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.32
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.37
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.02
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $26.07
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.9
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Calendar" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.36
Multiplier: 7.58x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.81
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $8.64
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast say "Calendar" during his next YouTube video?

Yes 11.3% 20 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 2.3% 100 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 28% 10 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

No 78% 5 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

No 59% 5 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

No 31% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on July 9?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?

Yes 32% 5 shares
Will MrBeast say "Calendar" during his next YouTube video?

Yes 3% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?

Yes 26.2% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?

Yes 10.8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on July 9?

Yes 0.7% 16 shares