Polymarket Trader

InefficientMarkets

0x3d4a557b4ab3b047c572bbc23bedb48745ea4256

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$219.5

No position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.05
Potential profit: $215.05
User PnL: -$200

Paraguay position

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$92

No position

Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.5
Potential profit: $34.5
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.96
Potential profit: $26.96
User PnL: -$15.01

No position

Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.48
Potential profit: $17.48
User PnL: -$8.57

No position

Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.19
Potential profit: $15.19
User PnL: -$5.72

Lavked position

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.2

No position

Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.31
Potential profit: $6.31
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Paraguay finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Scotland finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $126.34

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.39

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.17

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.39

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.6

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.33

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.67

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.97

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.75

Yes position

Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.48

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.27

England position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.02

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.41

Egypt position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45

Under position

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Under position

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.86

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

HOTU 81.3% 19.5 shares
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

HOTU 90% 22.23 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 13?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

ex-MANA eSports 65% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

ex-MANA eSports 64% 10 shares
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 13?

Down 97.9% 300 shares
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C

SPARTA 8% 27.32 shares
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C

SPARTA 57.7% 17.33 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 85% 23.53 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 96% 31.25 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 93% 215.05 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 88.5% 225.99 shares