No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$582.44
Polymarket Trader
ornsehww
0x3d4fd8edbd35066c72c29051e0e62ce7094225cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $337.85
- Realized PnL
- $19.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $337.85
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$151.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.42
- Potential profit
- $235.42
- User PnL
- -$130
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 20% 271.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 20% 497.23 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 87% 81.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 96.9% 127.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 28% 428.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 79.9% 100.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 47% 106.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 85% 81.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 37% 456.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 92% 27.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 62% 129.03 shares