No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $850
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Polymarket Trader
Tangovicious
0x3d6c091b9b9b88c8aba5b0b460d75be9ba84cde7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.02
- Realized PnL
- $251.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.56
- Potential profit
- $341.56
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.85
- Potential profit
- $340.85
- User PnL
- -$10.39
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.39
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $83.88
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $86.17
- Potential profit
- $73.68
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.33
- Potential profit
- $84.33
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $83.34
- Potential profit
- $81.8
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $22.99
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $22.83
- Potential profit
- $16.97
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.22
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.29
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $9.04
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.82
Yes position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?No 58% 4.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 80% 3.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 76.6% 3.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 0.8% 76.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 34.9% 2.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 35.2% 5.68 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?No 5% 20 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.2% 9.04 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 89.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 1.7% 58.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 4% 25 shares