Polymarket Trader

Leonidas11

@leoovinci

0x3d70670e169d7630a0a324dc01d030c650a4e9b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.73
Realized PnL: $270.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will SZA release a new song in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.64
Potential profit: $273.64
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will a turkey audibly gobble during the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.35
Potential profit: $45.35
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-01?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.99
Potential profit: $23.99
User PnL: -$13.64

Yes position

Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.47
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.27

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on September 28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Yes position

Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.52

C9 position

LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Hornets

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

No position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 36% 109.99 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 41.3% 7 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

31.1% 15.51 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 58% 10 shares
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 15% 9 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 50.3% 6 shares
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

51.2% 11.41 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

34.2% 14.19 shares
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

99.2% 7.72 shares
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

64% 7.72 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

62% 7.97 shares