Polymarket Trader

0x3d718b0000389DcDcC3ad6a43197088664b02148-1777430033666

0x3d718b0000389dcdcc3ad6a43197088664b02148

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.77
Realized PnL: $63.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.33
Potential profit: $27.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.1
Potential profit: $21.1
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.2%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $5.88
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $7.77

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.55
Potential profit: $14.55
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.67
Potential profit: $11.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $11.24
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $10.6
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.83
Potential profit: $8.83
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66
Potential profit: $5.66
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 29, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?

No 6% 25 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?

No 9.9% 15.15 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?

No 8.6% 11.67 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?

No 10.3% 14.55 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?

No 9% 11.11 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 35% 5.71 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 65% 26.88 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 93% 26.88 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

Yes 70.3% 41.8 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

Yes 94% 26.6 shares