Polymarket Trader

Garra

0x3d7358eeefbc46e507c59a9f53f57306e297209f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.06
Realized PnL: $185.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $53.76
Potential profit: $45.56
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.5
Potential profit: $38.5
User PnL: -$9.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.32
Potential profit: $21.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.14
Potential profit: $20.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.91
Potential payout: $17.92
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $12.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.79
Potential profit: $17.79
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.08
Potential profit: $16.08
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.19
Potential profit: $15.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $13.28
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.69
Potential profit: $12.69
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 52% 3.85 shares
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 73% 2.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27.9% 17.92 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares