Polymarket Trader

0x3D84c9478F783C950B6E3259072FA706cC66086B-1750353270695

0x3d84c9478f783c950b6e3259072fa706cc66086b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.76K
Realized PnL: $8.03K
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $38.01K
Potential payout: $255.97K
Potential profit: $217.96K
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $18.41K
Potential payout: $88.96K
Potential profit: $70.54K
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$5.07K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.34K
Potential profit: $67.34K
User PnL: -$937.89

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.84K
Potential profit: $36.84K
User PnL: -$999.98

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $23.87K
Potential profit: $22.62K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $139.87

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.04K
Potential profit: $11.04K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $76.32
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.19K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$23.68

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $852.97
Potential profit: $852.97
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $913.75

No position

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.27

No position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $628.59

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.93

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.62

No position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.77

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.31

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Pengu above $0.05 on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.58

No position

Will Trump say "N Word" in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.96

No position

US defaults on debt in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.83

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$62.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 5,452.28 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.8% 20,426.77 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.4% 2,396.25 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.2% 5,964.23 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.2% 1,063.44 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.9% 4,717.72 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.7% 11,052.17 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.5% 8,102.99 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.1% 16,147.15 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 5,263.16 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 26.4% 88,955.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Up 50% 10 shares