0x3d85...0569

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $48.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $33.13

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $455.49
Potential profit: $448.43
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.1
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.07
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $137.88
Potential profit: $128.3
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $7.31
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $117.69
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.31

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.37
Potential payout: $115.91
Potential profit: $109.53
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $13.35
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $100.28
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $91.01
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $79.6
Potential profit: $75.98
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $47.21
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.12
Potential profit: $58.12
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $56.28
Potential profit: $54.93
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $52.54
Potential profit: $49.39
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$5.71

Yes position

Will Haiti concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50.1
Potential profit: $49.57
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.03
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $41.64
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $30.91
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $30.08
Potential profit: $25.98
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $29.56
Potential profit: $28.61
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $26.89
Potential profit: $26.68
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $25.5
Potential profit: $24.8
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.3

Over position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

No position

Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

No position

Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28

Over position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Canada position

Spread: Canada (-2.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half