Poyo

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $157.36
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $54.16
Potential payout: $102.19
Potential profit: $48.03
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$22.24

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $87.51
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $8.93

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $23.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.45
Multiplier: 4.25x
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $51.93

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.35
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.02

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $83.48
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $53.26
Potential profit: $49.99
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.18
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $49.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $49.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $49.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $45.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.48
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $49.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will "Deep Water" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $49.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 48480936.02x
User PnL: $12.24M

No position

Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 55424429.65x
User PnL: $2.59M

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1166541.08x
User PnL: $928.1K

Yes position

Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?

Ends Jan 23, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 79579.88x
User PnL: $795.59K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 11045224.83x
User PnL: $312.18K

No position

Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 21, 2021

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 72.68x
User PnL: $271.94K

No position

Will Trump complete his first term?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 932886.42x
User PnL: $145.24K

Republican position

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 139027.20x
User PnL: $96.22K

Yes position

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 22913163.59x
User PnL: $95.99K

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021?

Ends Apr 30, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 10886512.23x
User PnL: $73.18K

No position

Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.09K

Republican position

Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.18K

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?

Ends Jul 31, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 7061299.45x
User PnL: $43.01K

Republican position

Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.24K

No position

Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?

Ends Jan 21, 2021

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $28.34K

No position

Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 21, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.34K

Packers position

Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 37580.25x
User PnL: $20.19K

Yes position

Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.58K

Yes position

Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?

Ends Feb 16, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 9699203.67x
User PnL: $11.92K

Yes position

Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021?

Ends Jan 1, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 103804.58x
User PnL: $11.34K

Democratic position

Which party will control the senate?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.15K

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021?

Ends Jun 30, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6016460.33x
User PnL: $10.81K

Yes position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?

Ends Aug 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 514912.52x
User PnL: $10.52K

Yes position

Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021?

Ends Jan 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.46K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?

Ends Jul 31, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 30296703.84x
User PnL: $10.32K

Reps/Loeffler position

Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D)

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 909666.65x
User PnL: $9.77K

Dems/Ossoff position

Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.72K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021?

Ends Oct 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 5939548.54x
User PnL: $8.97K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?

Ends Sep 30, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 53101343.73x
User PnL: $8.78K

Yes position

Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.41K

No position

Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?

Ends Oct 5, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87K

Bills position

Will the Buffalo Bills or the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1063927.86x
User PnL: $7.57K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020?

Ends Dec 1, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6288276.96x
User PnL: $6.98K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021?

Ends May 31, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 3347355.06x
User PnL: $6.17K

Republican position

Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.18K

Democratic position

Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.37K

Dems position

Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.95K

Yes position

Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2473634.16x
User PnL: $3.45K

No position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021?

Ends Nov 30, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41K

Yes position

Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021?

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 989039.41x
User PnL: $2.95K

No position

Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

No position

Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?

Ends Jan 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 8999335.83x
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th?

Ends Feb 21, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6332181.04x
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021?