Yes position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $387.75
- Potential payout
- $22.16K
- Potential profit
- $21.77K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$68.22
Polymarket Trader
Carbu
0x3d9c4af7f98a0cdaee1c8e9f832e203c63eb78ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $387.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.28K
- Potential profit
- $10.28K
- User PnL
- -$559.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$949.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$620
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$380
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$290
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $941.26
- Potential profit
- $941.26
- User PnL
- -$234.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.48
- Potential profit
- $162.48
- User PnL
- -$49.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.32
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$203.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 52.7% 2,237.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 56.5% 457.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp 40.4% 110.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp 37.9% 1,122.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp 38.7% 1,517.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp 99% 1,628.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp 29.3% 1,628.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2PM ETUp 28% 693.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2PM ETUp 25% 1,703.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp 36.5% 652.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp 33.1% 1,031.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp 29.4% 809.2 shares