No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.45K
- Potential profit
- $74.45K
- User PnL
- -$372.26
Polymarket Trader
simpledue
0x3d9e48c13480656da3f29dff3dd0db495b3d5421
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.11K
- Realized PnL
- $16.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $39.71K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $8.17K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $33.83K
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $651
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $4.43K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $37.57K
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$315
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $6.41K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $35.6K
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $63
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $41.94K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$273
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $3.3K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $38.7K
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$441
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $39.71K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $819
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $40.72K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $231
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $39.8K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $735
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $41.27K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $5.82K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $36.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.49K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $735
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $41.26K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $441
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $41.56K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$167.79
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $567
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $41.43K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $40.55K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $987
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.59K
- Potential profit
- $11.59K
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.39K
- Potential profit
- $6.39K
- User PnL
- -$251.07
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.97K
- Potential profit
- $5.97K
- User PnL
- -$124.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $5.31K
- User PnL
- -$5.23K
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.84K
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- User PnL
- $252.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.6
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.16
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.53
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.6
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.19
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.56
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.96
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 42,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 42,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 42,000 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 42,000 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 42,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?Yes 99.8% 106.91 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 88% 8.34 shares
- Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 94.8% 361.54 shares
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 95% 1,000 shares
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 94% 106.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 2?Yes 6.2% 11.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 2?Yes 6.1% 9.53 shares