Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $21.87
- Potential payout
- $235.14
- Potential profit
- $213.27
- Multiplier
- 10.75x
- User PnL
- $13.87
Polymarket Trader
0x3daa38e7ce8D22c78bABf38156c4176aCE29df94-1723146985313
0x3daa38e7ce8d22c78babf38156c4176ace29df94
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.79
- Realized PnL
- $693.55
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.5
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.02
- Potential profit
- $193.02
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $46.61
- Potential payout
- $72.26
- Potential profit
- $25.65
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $57.59
- Potential payout
- $62.26
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $40.99
No position
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.72
- Potential profit
- $58.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $47.17
- Potential profit
- $42.24
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $38.74
- Potential payout
- $38.76
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $23.74
Yes position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.59
- Potential profit
- $37.59
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $15.05
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $32.89
- Potential profit
- $29.39
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $22.04
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.88
- Potential profit
- $24.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $19.26
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.98
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.39
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.84
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.75
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.35
Canada position
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.1
Bears position
Packers vs. Bears
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.01
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Pershing Square IPO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Boy position
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Finland position
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 42% 5.01 shares
- Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 19% 20 shares
- Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 8.5% 58.72 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 26% 76.92 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.2% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 40 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 50 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 75% 50 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 100 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 47.17 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.2% 32.89 shares