Polymarket Trader

bgnhj

0x3db6eca171f5d45568bbb39ef8b21254233803b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.69
Realized PnL: $0.81
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $16.9
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $48.1
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $13.07
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.97
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

No 74% 22 shares
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Yes 23% 65 shares
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

Yes 94% 28.27 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Yes 58% 8 shares
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 98.1% 10 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 12% 55 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.3% 32 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.1% 95 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 10% 55 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 32% 24 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

No 79% 11.09 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 72% 10 shares