Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $192.59
- Potential profit
- $192.11
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Polymarket Trader
fz072zwvj48a
0x3dbd3300c29669f607bdf9f50db750070f441939
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.41
- Realized PnL
- $36.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $38.5
- Potential profit
- $38.36
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $20.49
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $16.58
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $4.68
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $1.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.03
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Bulgaria come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Switzerland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 61% 0.03 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 62% 0.01 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 63% 0.01 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 864.38 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.6% 864.39 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 55% 0.19 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 60% 2.78 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.3% 1,250 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 50% 1.04 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 59% 0.16 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 60% 0.81 shares