Polymarket Trader

Lisimens

0x3dc2ed762e597f736382b5cf665639531dd17661

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.24
Realized PnL: $28.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.13
Potential profit: $36.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.3
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $4.47
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $3.55
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49
Potential profit: $3.49
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $3.07
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $2.39
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?

No 99.8% 2.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 14?

Yes 98.5% 7.11 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 14?

No 97.9% 3.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?

No 98.4% 4.47 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 14?

No 99.9% 7.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 14?

Yes 95% 3.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 14?

Yes 98.5% 3.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 14?

No 97% 3.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 14?

Yes 96% 4.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 15?

No 95.2% 3.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 15?

No 81.5% 3.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?

Yes 99.9% 3.71 shares