Polymarket Trader

metamaaxx

0x3dcba7d835f2b8067884a8f6afc3ac1fe8c0e3c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $447.04
Realized PnL: $961.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $352.15
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $864.26
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $132.87

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $138.06
Potential profit: $119.42
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$28.58

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $18.52
Potential payout: $95.69
Potential profit: $77.18
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $35.65
Potential payout: $38.96
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.65

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $22.08
Potential payout: $28.49
Potential profit: $6.41
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.27

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.08

Down position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.83

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.44

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.7

Down position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.15

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.55

Up position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.83

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.2

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.05

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.37

Up position

Meta (META) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.51

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.91

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.19

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.94

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

Down position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.15

Down position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.9% 95.69 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.9% 225 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 77% 38.96 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 81% 123.46 shares
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 24?

Down 99.9% 331.41 shares
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 24?

Down 94.4% 211.92 shares
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 24?

Down 31% 32.26 shares
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 24?

Down 55% 36.36 shares
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 24?

Down 57% 17.54 shares