Polymarket Trader

Sly

0x3dd1392bf6549ddfc726de2f1807d99c3905ac3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $995.83
Realized PnL: $4.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.65K
Potential profit: $38.65K
User PnL: -$372.43

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $164.7
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$375.61

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$124.02

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$30.3

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.98
Potential profit: $509.98
User PnL: -$45.9

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$17.5

No position

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $353.55
Potential payout: $395.03
Potential profit: $41.48
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $204.65
Potential payout: $204.65
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $47.8

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.02
Potential profit: $200.02
User PnL: -$62.13

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$129.6

Yes position

Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $27.6

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $95.8
Potential payout: $95.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$49.43

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.83
Potential payout: $62.83
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25.76

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

OpenAI social app in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.02
Potential profit: $39.02
User PnL: -$36.68

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $9.03
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $11.97
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$1.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.02

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.53

Yes position

Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $180.36

No position

Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.81

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.9

No position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.13

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $132.5

No position

Will Trump say "Reserve" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?

Ends Jul 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.6

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.56

Yes position

Will US attack Yemen in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.69

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.95

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.48

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.43

No position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.99

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?

Ends Jan 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 94% 960.81 shares
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 95% 676.91 shares
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 9.5% 103 shares
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 80% 28 shares
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 13.7% 28 shares
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 80% 30 shares
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 80% 45 shares
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

No 99.5% 100 shares
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Yes 79.6% 95.8 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 53% 400 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 52% 400 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 72% 100 shares