No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $300.28
- Potential payout
- $432.13
- Potential profit
- $131.84
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Polymarket Trader
0x3dD9F5D4f77dB1468B86B924eCDC456E5bC511BD-1764919599541
0x3dd9f5d4f77db1468b86b924ecdc456e5bc511bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $300.28
- Realized PnL
- $520.58
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.55
- Potential profit
- $21.55
- User PnL
- -$8.36
No position
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.36
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.5
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.22
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.06
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Maduro receives asylum by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown 0.1% 25,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown 19% 131.58 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 69.4% 432.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown 48% 54.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown 36% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown 36% 13.89 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 8.9% 650 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown 99.1% 12.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown 77.9% 12.74 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 8% 650 shares